Adversarial Risk Analysis

主讲人:Prof.David Lane Banks (SAMSI and Duke University)
时间:2019年6月18日上午9:30-10:30   地点:N205

学术海报


AbstractAdversarial Risk Analysis (ARA) is a Bayesian alternative to classical game theory. Rooted in decision theory, one builds a model for the decision-making of one's opponent, placing subjective distributions over all unknown quantities. Then one chooses the action that maximizes expected utility. This approach aligns with some perspectives in modern behavioral economics, and enables principled analysis of novel problems, such as a multiparty auction in which there is no common knowledge and different bidders have different opinions about each other.