Optimal Conditional Mean-Variance Portfolio Averaging

主讲人:张新雨 研究员
时间:2024年7月3日上午10:30—-11:30   地点:数学院南楼N204

【报告摘要】In this article, we develop a portfolio averaging strategy under the conditional mean-variance framework. It is designed for integrating all available information and achieving a desired risk-return trade-off. Specifically, a series of candidate shrinkage portfolios are constructed for controlling the portfolio positions, which differ from each other in candidate models, target portfolios, weighting matrices and/or penalty parameters. We adopt a novel criterion to determine the weights across these candidate portfolios. Theoretically, we establish the asymptotic optimality of the proposed strategy in the sense of achieving the lowest possible out-of-sample expected utility loss, and we also derive the convergence of weights arising from the criterion. Empirically, we illustrate that the proposed strategy compares favorably with 14 alternative strategies across four datasets. 
 
【报告人简介】张新雨,中科院数学与系统科学研究院研究员,主要从事统计学和计量经济学的理论和应用研究工作,具体研究方向包括模型平均、机器学习、金融计量、医学统计等,担任国内SCI期刊《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity (JSSC)》领域主编。